Looking forward to the Tri Nations, I thought the best place to start would be to look at form in the Super series and how this acts as an indicator for Tri Nations.
After much fiddling around I came up with this graphic, and surprise surprise it is a good indicator – if you win the Super 14 (as it is now), you have a 71.4% chance of winning the Tri Nations. What jumps out at you as well is how much black there is on the chart, both on the super and on the tri side. They’re always good value to watch.
I find as a Springbok supporter that I enjoy the matches between NZ and Australia much more than when the Boks play. So in theory the Springboks should be about to claim their fourth Tri Nations trophy, and retain it for the first time ever.
The Bok’s are an enigmatic bunch though, you never know exactly what’s going on in their heads, if anything. Bone crushing physicality is all you can guarantee from them. Roll on the tournament though, I can’t wait!
In other news, The Beast is back! Tendai Mtawarira makes a welcome return to the Bok squad after sorting out his citizenship issues.
In the UK, England’s Elite squad sees the omission of captain Steve Borthwick (former captain now obviously) and also no Olly Barkley or Shane Geraghty – Martin Johnson doesn’t really do mavericks does he?
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